ABNMS2011 Program

Third Annual Conference of the Australasian Bayesian Network Modelling Society (ABNMS2011)
November 21 - 22, 2011: Pre-Conference Tutorials
November 23 - 24, 2011: Conference
Mathematical Sciences, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane

Please see the QUT Gardens Point Campus map for help in locating the conference rooms.

ABNMS2011 Pre-Conference Tutorial Program

Required tutorial materials

DAY 1 - Monday 21st November:
Room S519, Level 5, S Block, QUT Gardens Point Campus

Presentations & Papers





8:30

Registration opens



9:00

Welcome and overview


Carl Smith (UQ), Society President

9:15

BN Basics

Introduction to BNs - probabilities, Bayes Theorem, nodes, arcs, CPTs, reasoning

David Albrecht (Monash)

·Introduction to BNs

10:30

Morning Tea



10:50

BN Basics continued

Introduction to commonly used BN software - Netica, GeNIe, Hugin

Carl Smith (UQ) (Netica) and Sandra Johnson (QUT) (Genie and Hugin)

·Netica (+ exercises)
·GeNIe
·Hugin

12:30

Lunch



13:30

Advanced BN Techniques

GIS Integration

Carl Smith (UQ)

·GIS Integration

14:30


Object-Oriented BNs

Ann Nicholson (Monash) and Sandra Johnson (QUT)

·Object-Oriented BNs

15:30

Afternoon tea



15:50


Structure and Parameter Learning

Kevin Korb (Monash)

17:00

Finish







DAY 2 - Tuesday 22nd November:
Room S519, Level 5, S Block, QUT Gardens Point Campus





9:00

Elicitation Skills
(Click link for details.)

Parameter elicitation from experts plus training in the use of elicitation tools

Sama Low Choy (QUT) and Marissa McBride (ACERA - Melbourne Uni)

·Cognitive Biases
·Tools for Improving Accuracy
·4 Step Method for Eliciting a Number

17:00

Finish



ABNMS2011 Conference Program

Abstracts for all conference presentations

DAY 1 - WEDNESDAY 23RD NOVEMBER 2011:
Room Z401, Level 4, Z Block, QUT Gardens Point Campus


Presentations & Papers



9:00 - 9:30

Registration & coffee


9:30 - 9:45

Welcome


9:45 - 10:45

Keynote Speaker


10:45 - 11:15

Morning Tea / Coffee




HEALTH APPLICATIONS


11:15 - 11:45

Bayesian Network Model for Australian Breastfeeding Rates

Margaret Rolfe (Centre for Rural Health - Lismore)

11:45 - 12:15

Using a Bayesian network to model colonisation with Vancomycin Resistant Enterococcus (VRE)

Mohana Rajmokan (CHRISP, Queensland Health)

· Presentation
· Paper




12:15 - 13:15

Lunch





BN METHODS



13:15 - 13:45

A comparison of methods for constructing credible intervals for queries of a Bayesian Net

Margaret Donald (QUT)

· Presentation

13:45 - 14:15

Importance of Decision Networks

David Albrecht (Monash Uni)

· Presentation
· Paper

14:15 - 14:45

Learning Bayesian networks given a data set consisting of samples that are not independent and identically distributed

Jessica Kasza (Adelaide Uni)

· Presentation
· Paper

14:45 - 15:15

Afternoon Tea / Coffee


15:15 - 15:45

Intervention & Observation

Kevin Korb (Monash Uni)

· Presentation




15:45 - 16:45

AGM


18:30 - 20:30

Conference Dinner




DAY 2 - THURSDAY 24TH NOVEMBER 2011:
Gibson Room, Z Block, QUT Gardens Point Campus




TRANSPORT APPLICATIONS


9:30 - 10:00

Expansion or refurbishment: what should be done when increased passenger numbers are forecast?

Charisse Farr (QUT)

· Presentation

10:00 - 10:30

Modelling an Inbound passenger network in an airport terminal as a complex system

Jegar Pitchforth (QUT)

· Presentation



RISK ASSESSMENT


10:30 - 11:00

The System Integration Risk Assessment Model based on a Bayesian Belief Networks

Irena Loutchkina (Uni of SA)

· Presentation
· Paper

11:00 - 11:30

Morning Tea / Coffee


11:30 - 12:00

Beyond Compliance: Developing confidence and competence in a Systems Approach to Pest Risk Management in SE Asia

Peter Whittle (QUT)

· Presentation



ENVIRONMENTAL APPLICATIONS


12:00 - 12:30

Risk assessment models for post-mining land use

Bob Maczkowiack (UQ)

· Presentation
· Paper

12:30 - 13:00

Exploring management scenarios for the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) using Bayesian Belief and Decision Networks

Stephen Ban (JCU)

· Presentation
· Paper




13:00 - 14:00

Lunch and poster presentation session





14:00 - 14:30

Grazing in the Burdekin - a case study to investigate BN modelling for State of Environment Reporting

Sandra Johnson (QUT)

· Presentation

14:30 - 15:00

BN model for Pathogens in Recycled Water: Sydney Replacement Flows case study

Ben van den Akker (Uni of NSW)

· Presentation

15:00 - 15:30

Afternoon Tea / Coffee


15:30 - 16:30

Discussion - Where to from here? (Website, conference plan - special issue of a journal?, newsletter, etc)


16:30 - 16:45

Close


If you have any questions regarding ABNMS2011, please email abnms2011@abnms.org.

Referencing

To reference papers and presentations from the conference, please follow the example below:

Maczkowiack, R. and Smith, C. (2011). Risk assessment models for post-mining land use. Third Australasian Bayesian Network Modelling Society Conference, ABNMS2011, 21-24 November 2011, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane. Available online: http://www.abnms.org/conferences/abnms2011/program.php.